Industries with the Biggest Decline in Exports in the UK in 2024

1. Vodka Distilleries in the UK

Decline in Exports for 2024: -45.9%

Alcohol consumption, demand from pubs and bars, disposable income, health consciousness and the exchange rate heavily influence vodka distilleries revenue. The COVID-19 pandemic led to strict restrictions imposed on the hospitality sector, with sales to the on-trade tumbling as a result. Rising rates of at-home social gatherings led to an uptick in sales to the off-trade, although this wasn't enough to prevent a substantial fall in revenue and profitability in 2020-21. Revenue rebounded in 2021-22 as social distancing restrictions eased and people flocked back to bars and pubs. Demand for premium spirits is driving revenue growth in 2023-24, although it's... Learn More

2. Electronic Component Manufacturing in the UK

Decline in Exports for 2024: -45.2%

Electronic components are ubiquitous in modern life. A vast range of appliances, from computers and mobile phones to TVs and cars, use electronic components. They are present in infrastructure, like traffic lights and alarm systems, and in medical equipment, industrial machinery and solar panels. Although UK companies design a considerable number of new electronic components, the UK industry is not considered to be a global market leader. There has been a tendency to outsource manufacturing away from the UK and, in some cases, to stop physical manufacturing altogether. Instead, there's focus on the production and sale of intellectual property in... Learn More

3. Fertiliser & Nitrogen Compound Manufacturing in the UK

Decline in Exports for 2024: -43.3%

Over the five years through 2022-23, the Fertiliser and Nitrogen Compound Manufacturing industry's revenue is set to swell at a compound annual rate of 10.6% to £2.7 billion. The Russian invasion of Ukraine has inflated natural gas prices, a key feedstock in fertiliser production, significantly disrupting operations. High fertiliser prices have forced farmers to adapt by increasing their spreading efficiency, reducing the amount of fertiliser farmers need. Even though output has been slashed, high fertiliser prices have still boosted industry revenue.

Despite soaring natural gas prices eating into profit, manufacturers have begun optimising output to reduce costs, meet lower demand and... Learn More

4. Hard Coal Mining in the UK

Decline in Exports for 2024: -30.7%

Over the five years through 2022-23, hard coal mining revenue is forecast to fall at a compound annual rate of 26.2%. Before COVID-19 hit, coal prices were inching downwards as demand for coal from electricity generators fell. The drop in sales and revenue has contributed to a sharp drop in the number of UK coal mines in the UK, with numerous mining licences expiring.

The COVID-19 outbreak accelerated the closure of coal mines in the UK; however, as the pandemic started to wind down, coal prices rose in response to supply chain disruptions. Russia's invasion of Ukraine has also played a... Learn More

5. Primary Form Plastics Manufacturing in the UK

Decline in Exports for 2024: -27.1%

The Primary Form Plastics Manufacturing industry's revenue is set to dip at a compound annual rate of 1.2% over the five years through 2022-23 to £5.3 billion; it's forecast to swell by 2.6% in 2022-23. Petroleum is a key input for most plastic products, so revenue and profitability can move in line with oil prices, which are historically very volatile. For example, a drop in the price of crude oil in 2018-19 enabled plastic manufacturers to increase average selling prices slightly, supporting growth in industry revenue but slashing profit.

The COVID-19 pandemic caused a slump in plastic manufacturers' output in 2020-21,... Learn More

6. Scrap Metal Recycling in the UK

Decline in Exports for 2024: -25.1%

The Scrap Metal Recycling industry is mainly swayed by prices of ferrous and non-ferrous metals. Trends in the downstream manufacturing and construction markets also determine demand. Industry revenue has dipped at a projected compound annual rate of 1.6% to £6.2 billion over the five years through 2022-23.

Metal prices fluctuate a lot, meaning revenue is very volatile. Higher global metal prices allow recyclers to sell their scrap metal at higher prices, boosting revenue. However, both manufacturing and construction output tumbled in 2020-21 amid COVID-19 restrictions, reducing industry demand in the process.

The recovery of metal manufacturing and construction activity and soaring metal... Learn More

7. Dye & Pigment Manufacturing in the UK

Decline in Exports for 2024: -24.1%

The Dye and Pigment Manufacturing industry's revenue is set to contract at a compound annual rate of 3.3% over the five years through 2023-24 to £1.1 billion. The COVID-19 pandemic caused a marked decline in sales of dyes and pigments to downstream manufacturers, causing revenue to slump. Sales of dyes and pigments to paper and cosmetics manufacturers were hit especially hard, as both industries significantly reduced their production capacity.

Titanium dioxide is a key input in paint. However, titanium prices soared in 2022 when Russia (a major global exporter of titanium) invaded Ukraine. The Russian invasion of Ukraine also caused energy... Learn More

8. Semiconductor & Circuit Manufacturing in the UK

Decline in Exports for 2024: -21.9%

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9. Pesticide & Other Agrochemical Manufacturing in the UK

Decline in Exports for 2024: -21.3%

The performance of the Pesticide and Other Agrochemical Manufacturing industry hinges on a few factors. Of late, the most important have been oil prices and the level of demand from agriculture. Chemical pesticides are an integral part of Britain's agriculture sector and play a big role in boosting output and productivity. Agrochemical manufacturers' product portfolios evolve in line with technological advances, changing land use and trends in the use of pesticides. However, with the rise in technological advances to cut environmental footprints comes growing demand for organic farmers that don't use pesticides, constricting revenue growth. Despite this, industry revenue still... Learn More

10. Organic Basic Chemical Manufacturing in the UK

Decline in Exports for 2024: -20.7%

Revenue is expected to contract at a compound annual rate of 1.6% to £11 billion over the five years through 2023-24. The pandemic significantly disrupted downstream manufacturing activity, as buyers had lower production, reducing the need for organic basic chemicals used as intermediate products. The temporary closure of construction sites across the UK during the COVID-19 outbreak meant sales of organic basic chemicals used to make plastic piping, wire coatings, insulation and other construction products fell, dampening revenue.

The Russian invasion of Ukraine hiked the price of key inputs like crude oil and natural gas. While high gas and oil prices... Learn More