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Bakery Product Retailers in Germany - Market Research Report (2014-2029)

Melanie Katz Melanie Katz Frankfurt, Germany Last Updated: September 2024 WZ G47.24DE

Revenue

€3.4bn

2024

€3.4bn

Past 5-Year Growth

Profit

€XX.Xm

Employees

50,580

Businesses

4,578

Wages

€X.Xbn

Bakery Product Retailers in Germany industry analysis

The bakery and confectionery retail sector is in the saturation phase of its life cycle. Between 2019 and 2024, industry turnover grew by an average of 0.6% per year, meaning that it is expected to amount to 3.4 billion euros in the current year. This corresponds to an increase in sales of 0.3% for 2024. This positive sales trend is due to the recovery from the pandemic-related decline in sales and higher consumer prices. < />The fact that fresh baked goods in particular, but also confectionery, long-life baked goods and ice cream, continue to make a considerable contribution to the German food industry's sales suggests that demand for the sector's products remains relatively stable. Nevertheless, a change in consumer behaviour, particularly in the form of increased health awareness and more eating out, has had a significant impact on the food retail product groups. While sales generated by conventional products have shrunk, these sales losses have been partially offset by an expansion of the product range to include healthier product alternatives and a variety of snack offerings. Furthermore, the sector landscape has undergone significant structural change in recent years, as the number of companies in the sector has fallen while the number of businesses has risen slightly. Predominantly small artisan bakeries have exited the market, while large companies have continued to expand their branch network.As in previous years, competition from the sale of baked goods and confectionery in food retail is likely to increase in the future. Although the industry is initially recovering somewhat following the drop in sales caused by the coronavirus crisis, IBISWorld is forecasting an average decline in sales of 1.9% per year to €3.1 billion in 2029 for the period from 2024 to 2029. The number of industry players is likely to decline in the coming years.

Trends and Insights

  • The growing number of convenience providers has increased consumers' price sensitivity. The price of bread and other baked goods has increasingly become a decisive purchasing criterion.
  • Despite increased health awareness, the sales value of sweet baked goods has increased over the last five years. This is due to the fact that many consumers regard sweets as a luxury food and some recipes have been adapted to the eating habits of nutrition-conscious consumers.
  • There are particularly many important transport hubs in the Central region due to its central location. Companies in the North region can in turn benefit from the proximity to important ports that are important for raw material imports.
  • External competition has increased significantly due to the growing number of baking stations in food retailers outside the sector. Supermarkets and discounters offer industrially produced bread and baked goods, which are usually baked on site and are significantly cheaper than industry products.

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Industry Statistics and Trends

Market size and recent performance (2014-2029)

Industry revenue has grown at a CAGR of 0.6 % over the past five years, to reach an estimated €3.4bn in 2024.

Trends and Insights

The pandemic has increased competition from supermarkets and discounters

  • The industry's declining sales trend, even before the pandemic, is due to increasing competition from supermarkets, discounters and cafés, as these have significantly increased the number of baking stations where baked goods are freshly baked in their shops in recent years.
  • Additional trends and insights available with purchase
Bakery Product Retailers in Germany
Revenue (2014-2029)
IBISWorld Logo Source: IBISWorld

Industry outlook (2024-2029)

Market size is projected to decline over the next five years.

Trends and Insights

Growing health awareness characterises the product range of bakery and confectionery retailers

  • In the coming years, the general increase in health awareness is likely to lead to industry players expanding their product range to include healthier alternatives in order to compensate for lost sales in the standard range.

Biggest companies in the Bakery Product Retailers in Germany

Company
Market Share (%)
2024
Revenue (€m)
2024
Edeka-Gruppe
520.0
Valora Food Service Deutschland GmbH
112.8
Kamps GmbH
106.0

To view the market share and analysis for all 3 top companies in this industry, view purchase options.

Products & Services Segmentation

Bakery Product Retailers in Germany
Products & Services
IBISWorld Logo Source: IBISWorld

Industry revenue is measured across several distinct product and services lines, including Bread and rolls, Fine baked goods and Confectionery. Bread and rolls is the largest segment of the Bakery Product Retailers in Germany.

Trends and Insights

Bread and rolls made from wheat flour are increasingly being replaced by wholemeal and mixed products

  • This product group includes bread and rolls made from different types of flour.
  • More insights available in the full report

Table of Contents

About this industry

Industry definition

The sector includes retailers specialising in bakery and confectionery products, such as bakeries, confectioners and specialist confectionery shops. The sale of ice cream, long-life baked goods and snacks in specialised retail outlets also falls under the industry definition, whereas the sale of baked goods and confectionery by supermarkets, discount stores, ice cream parlours, cafés and restaurants does not.

What's included in this industry?

Bread and rollsFine baked goodsConfectionery

Companies

Edeka-GruppeValora Food Service Deutschland GmbHKamps GmbH

Purchase this report to view all 3 major companies in this industry.

Related Terms

CHOCOLATERYDISCOUNT BAKERYINNOVATION BAKERSELF-SERVICE BAKERYSUPERFOOD

Industry Code

WZ 2008

WZ 47.24 - Bakery Product Retailers in Germany

Performance

Get an indication of the industry's health through historical, current and forward-looking trends in the performance indicators that make or break businesses.

Analyst insights

The growing number of convenience providers has increased consumers' price sensitivity. The price of bread and other baked goods has increasingly become a decisive purchasing...

In this chapter (4)

  • Current Performance
  • Outlook
  • Volatility
  • Life Cycle

Key metrics

  • Annual Revenue, Recent Growth, Forecast, Revenue Volatility
  • Number of Employees, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Employee
  • Number of Businesses, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Business
  • Total Profit, Profit Margin, Profit per Business

Charts

  • Revenue, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Employees, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Businesses, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Profit, including historical (2014-2024)
  • Industry Volatility vs. Revenue Growth
  • Industry Life Cycle

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in supply, demand and current events that are driving current industry performance
  • Expected trends, economic factors and ongoing events that drive the industry's outlook
  • Key success factors for businesses to overcome volatility
  • How contribution to GDP, industry saturation, innovation, consolidation, and technology and systems influence the industry's life cycle phase.

Products and Markets

Learn about an industry's products and services, markets and trends in international trade.

Analyst insight

Despite increased health awareness, the sales value of sweet baked goods has increased over the last five years. This is due to the fact that many consumers regard sweets as ...

In this chapter

  • Products & Services
  • Major Markets

Key metrics

  • Largest market segment and value in 2024
  • Product innovation level

Charts

  • Products & services segmentation in 2024
  • Major market segmentation in 2024

Detailed analysis

  • Trends impacting the recent performance of the industry's various segments
  • Innovations in the industry's product or service offering, specialization or delivery method
  • Key factors that successful businesses consider in their offerings
  • Buying segments and key trends influencing demand for industry products and services

Geographic Breakdown

Discover where business activity is most concentrated in an industry and the factors driving these trends to find opportunities and conduct regional benchmarking.

Analyst insights

There are particularly many important transport hubs in the Central region due to its central location. Companies in the North region can in turn benefit from the proximity t...

In this chapter (1)

  • Business Locations

Charts

  • Share of revenue, establishment, wages and employment in each region
  • Share of population compared to establishments in each region in 2024

Tables

  • Number and share of establishments in each region in 2024
  • Number and share of revenue each region accounts for in 2024
  • Number and share of wages each region accounts for in 2024
  • Number and share of employees in each region in 2024

Detailed analysis

  • Geographic spread of the industry across Europe, and trends associated with changes in the business landscape
  • Key success factors for businesses to use location to their advantage

Competitive Forces

Get data and insights on what's driving competition in an industry and the challenges industry operators and new entrants may face, with analysis built around Porter's Five Forces framework.

Analyst insights

External competition has increased significantly due to the growing number of baking stations in food retailers outside the sector. Supermarkets and discounters offer industr...

In this chapter (4)

  • Concentration
  • Barriers to Entry
  • Substitutes
  • Buyer & Supplier Analysis

Key metrics

  • Industry concentration level
  • Industry competition level and trend
  • Barriers to entry level and trend
  • Substitutes level and trend
  • Buyer power level and trend
  • Supplier power level and trend

Charts

  • Market share concentration among the top 4 suppliers from 2019-2024
  • Supply chain including upstream supplying industries and downstream buying industries, flow chart

Detailed analysis

  • Factors impacting the industry’s level of concentration, such as business distribution, new entrants, or merger and acquisition activity.
  • Key success factors for businesses to manage the competitive environment of the industry.
  • Challenges that potential industry entrants face such as legal, start-up costs, differentiation, labor/capital intensity and capital expenses.
  • Key success factors for potential entrants to overcome barriers to entry.
  • Competitive threats from potential substitutes for the industry’s own products and services.
  • Key success factors for how successful businesses can compete with substitutes.
  • Advantages that buyers have to keep favorable purchasing conditions.
  • Advantages that suppliers have to maintain favorable selling conditions.
  • Key success factors for how businesses can navigate buyer and supplier power.

Companies

Learn about the performance of the top companies in the industry.

Analyst insights

The bakery outlets in supermarkets are organised regionally and are supplied with goods daily by the regional bakery manufacturers in the Edeka network. This regional organis...

In this chapter

  • Market Share Concentration
  • Companies
  • Company Spotlights

Charts

  • Industry market share by company in 2020 through 2024
  • Major companies in the industry, including market share, revenue, profit and profit margin in 2024
  • Overview of Edeka-Gruppe's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
  • Overview of Valora Food Service Deutschland GmbH's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
  • Overview of Kamps GmbH's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024

Detailed analysis

  • Description and key data for Edeka-Gruppe, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description and key data for Valora Food Service Deutschland GmbH, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description and key data for Kamps GmbH, and factors influencing its performance in the industry

External Environment

Understand the demographic, economic and regulatory factors that shape how businesses in an industry perform.   

Analyst insights

Like all companies in the food chain, bakery and confectionery retailers must also comply with EC Regulation 852/2004. This regulation obliges companies in the food industry ...

In this chapter

  • External Drivers
  • Regulation & Policy
  • Assistance

Key metrics

  • Regulation & policy level and trend
  • Assistance level and trend

Charts

  • Regulation & Policy historical data and forecast (2014-2029) 
  • Assistance historical data and forecast (2014-2029) 

Detailed analysis

  • Demographic and macroeconomic factors influencing the industry, including Regulation & Policy and Assistance
  • Major types of regulations, regulatory bodies, industry standards or specific regulations impacting requirements for industry operators
  • Key governmental and non-governmental groups or policies that may provide some relief for industry operators.

Financial Benchmarks

View average costs for industry operators and compare financial data against an industry's financial benchmarks over time. 

Analyst insights

The profits of süß- and baked goods retailers have fluctuated in recent years, mainly due to volatile commodity prices. Increasing minimum wages and depreciation have put add...

In this chapter

  • Cost Structure
  • Financial Ratios
  • Key Ratios

Key metrics

  • Profit margin, and how it compares to the sector-wide margin
  • Average wages, and how it compares to the sector-wide average wage
  • Largest cost component as a percentage of revenue
  • Industry average ratios for days' receivables, industry coverage and debt-to-net-worth ratio

Charts

  • Average industry operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
  • Average sector operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
  • Investment vs. share of economy

Data tables

  • Cash Flow & Debt Service Ratios (2014-2029)
  • Revenue per Employee (2014-2029)
  • Revenue per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • Employees per Establishment (2014-2029)
  • Employees per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • Average Wage (2014-2029)
  • Wages/Revenue (2014-2029)
  • Establishments per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • IVA/Revenue (2014-2029)
  • Imports/Demand (2014-2029)
  • Exports/Revenue (2014-2029)

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in the cost component for industry operators and their impact on industry costs and profitability 

Key Statistics

Industry Data

Data Tables

Including values and annual change:

  • Revenue (2014-2029)
  • IVA (2014-2029)
  • Establishments (2014-2029)
  • Enterprises (2014-2029)
  • Employment (2014-2029)
  • Exports (2014-2029)
  • Imports (2014-2029)
  • Wages (2014-2029)

Top Questions Answered

Unlock comprehensive answers and precise data upon purchase. View purchase options.

What is the market size of the Bakery Product Retailers industry in Germany in 2024?

The market size of the Bakery Product Retailers industry in Germany is €3.4bn in 2024.

How many businesses are there in the Bakery Product Retailers in Germany industry in 2024?

There are 4,578 businesses in the Bakery Product Retailers industry in Germany, which has declined at a CAGR of 0.6 % between 2019 and 2024.

Has the Bakery Product Retailers industry in Germany grown or declined over the past 5 years?

The market size of the Bakery Product Retailers industry in Germany has been growing at a CAGR of 0.6 % between 2019 and 2024.

What is the forecast growth of the Bakery Product Retailers industry in Germany over the next 5 years?

Over the next five years, the Bakery Product Retailers industry in Germany is expected to decline.

What are the biggest companies in the Bakery Product Retailers market in Germany?

The biggest companies operating in the Bakery Product Retailers market in Germany are Edeka-Gruppe, Valora Food Service Deutschland GmbH and Kamps GmbH

What does the Bakery Product Retailers in Germany include?

Bread and rolls and Fine baked goods are part of the Bakery Product Retailers industry.

Which companies have the highest market share in the Bakery Product Retailers in Germany?

The company holding the most market share in Germany is Edeka-Gruppe.

How competitive is the Bakery Product Retailers industry in Germany?

The level of competition is high and increasing in the Bakery Product Retailers industry in Germany.

Related Industries

Widen your competitive advantage with related industries

View all industries in Germany

Methodology

How are IBISWorld reports created?

IBISWorld has been a leading provider of trusted industry research for over 50 years to the most successful companies worldwide. With offices in Australia, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany and China, we are proud to have local teams of analysts that conduct research, data analysis and forecasting to produce data-driven industry reports.

Our analysts start with official, verified and publicly available sources of data to build the most accurate picture of each industry. Analysts then leverage their expertise and knowledge of the local markets to synthesize trends into digestible content for IBISWorld readers. Finally, each report is reviewed by one of IBISWorld’s editors, who provide quality assurance to ensure accuracy and readability.

IBISWorld relies on human-verified data and human-written analysis to compile each standard industry report. We do not use generative AI tools to write insights, although members can choose to leverage AI-based tools within the platform to generate additional analysis formats.

What data sources do IBISWorld analysts use?

Each industry report incorporates data and research from government databases, industry-specific sources, industry contacts, and our own proprietary database of statistics and analysis to provide balanced, independent and accurate insights.

Key data sources in Germany include:

  • German Federal Statistics Office (Destatis)
  • European Statistics Office (Eurostat)
  • United Nations Comtrade

Analysts also use industry specific sources to complement catch-all sources, although their perspective may focus on a particular organization or representative body, rather than a clear overview of all industry operations. However, when balanced against other perspectives, industry-specific sources provide insights into industry trends.

These sources include:

  • Industry and trade associations
  • Industry federations or regulators
  • Major industry players annual or quarterly filings

Finally, IBISWorld’s global data scientists maintain a proprietary database of macroeconomic and demand drivers, which our analysts use to help inform industry data and trends. They also maintain a database of statistics and analysis on thousands of industries, which has been built over our more than 50-year history and offers comprehensive insights into long-term trends.

How does IBISWorld forecast its data?

IBISWorld’s analysts and data scientists use the sources above to create forecasts for our proprietary datasets and industry statistics. Depending on the dataset, they may use regression analysis, multivariate analysis, time-series analysis or exponential smoothing techniques to project future data for the industry or driver. Additionally, analysts will leverage their local knowledge of industry operating and regulatory conditions to impart their best judgment on the forecast model.

IBISWorld prides itself on being a trusted, independent source of data, with over 50 years of experience building and maintaining rich datasets and forecasting tools. We are proud to be the keystone source of industry information for thousands of companies across the world.

Learn more about our methodology and data sourcing on the Help Center.