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Commercial Real Estate in China - Market Research Report (2014-2029)

IBISWorld IBISWorld Beijing, China Last Updated: November 2024 7210b

Revenue

$189.4bn

2024

$189.4bn

Past 5-Year Growth

Profit

$XX.Xbn

Employees

1m

Businesses

43,846

Wages

$XX.Xbn

Commercial Real Estate in China industry analysis

Revenue for the Commercial Real Estate industry in China is expected to decrease at an annualized 2.4% over the five years through 2024, with strict control on real estate sector and the effects of the COVID-19 epidemic since 2020.
Since August 2020, the Government has proposed three debt indicators for real estate development and management companies through which the company's financial health can be rated. This new policy has exacerbated the company's debt pressure, making it unable to repay old debts by borrowing new debt. Some real estate companies faced a liquidity crisis.
In 2022, the city's lockdown and laying-off caused by COVID-19 epidemic led to the pressure of delaying the delivery of commercial real estate. The industry's newly constructed and completed areas decreased significantly throughout the year. In addition, the epidemic has impacted sales in the real estate development and management industry, and some sales offices have been forced to close temporarily. In 2022, the newly constructed area of office buildings decreased by 39.1%, the newly constructed area of commercial-used buildings decreased by 41.9%, and the completed area dropped by 22.6% and 22.0% respectively.
Industry revenue is forecast to recover at an annualized 4.5% over the five years through 2029. The industry's growth is anticipated to stabilize over the period, as the government continues to strengthen controls on real estate. The industry is projected to further expand into second- and third-tier cities, like Chengdu, Shenyang, and Xi'an, as firms seek to gain market share in regional centers over the next five years. Several city complex projects are planned to be built in these cities over the five years through 2029.

Trends and Insights

  • Repeated COVID-19 epidemic aggravates the downturn of the industry. The COVID-19 epidemic leads to the reduced constructed area of the industry and changes the working patterns.
  • Retail stores account for the largest proportion. The retail stores cater to consumer needs and preferences by offering a wide range of products and services.
  • The industry development in East China is very prosperous. This area has experienced rapid economic growth with a high demand for commercial buildings, making it an important development area for the industry.
  • Land reserves provide a competitive advantage. The ability to acquire land and property with good locations is a prerequisite for the development of real estate.

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  • Market estimates from 2014-2029
  • Critical performance data and rankings
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Industry Statistics and Trends

Market size and recent performance (2014-2029)

Industry revenue has declined at a CAGR of 2.4 % over the past five years, to reach an estimated $189.4bn in 2024.

Trends and Insights

Repeated COVID-19 epidemic aggravates the downturn of the industry

  • In 2022, the city's lockdown and laying-off caused by repeated COVID-19 epidemic led to the pressure of delaying the delivery of project.
  • Additional trends and insights available with purchase
Commercial Real Estate in China
Revenue (2014-2029)
IBISWorld Logo Source: IBISWorld

Industry outlook (2024-2029)

Market size is projected to grow over the next five years.

Trends and Insights

The industry will gradually recover

  • China's urbanization rate has over 66.0% in 2023, and there is still room for the industry improvement. Despite a significant decline in the industry in 2022, the industry remains a pillar industry in China.

Biggest companies in the Commercial Real Estate in China

Company
Market Share (%)
2024
Revenue ($m)
2024
Dalian Wanda Commercial Management Group Co., Ltd.
6,439.0
Greenland Holdings Corporation Limited
6,060.2
China Vanke Co., Ltd.
5,870.9

To view the market share and analysis for all 12 top companies in this industry, view purchase options.

Products & Services Segmentation

Commercial Real Estate in China
Products & Services
IBISWorld Logo Source: IBISWorld

Industry revenue is measured across several distinct product and services lines, including Retail stores, Office buildings and Hotels. Retail stores is the largest segment of the Commercial Real Estate in China.

Trends and Insights

Retail stores account for the largest proportion

  • Retail stores refer to physical establishments where businesses sell goods or services directly to consumers, including various types of stores, like department stores, supermarkets, specialty shops, convenience stores, and boutiques.
  • More insights available in the full report

Table of Contents

About this industry

Industry definition

The Commercial Real Estate industry in China is mainly engaged in commercial building development, sales, leasing and marketing. Commercial buildings include office buildings and shopping malls. Residential housing, school, and library developments are excluded from the industry.

What's included in this industry?

Retail storesOffice buildingsHotelsEntertainment buildings and other commercial properties

Companies

Dalian Wanda Commercial Management Group Co., Ltd.Greenland Holdings Corporation LimitedChina Vanke Co., Ltd.

Purchase this report to view all 12 major companies in this industry.

Related Terms

CONTRACT SALES REVENUECITY COMPLEX

Performance

Get an indication of the industry's health through historical, current and forward-looking trends in the performance indicators that make or break businesses.

Analyst insights

Repeated COVID-19 epidemic aggravates the downturn of the industry. The COVID-19 epidemic leads to the reduced constructed area of the industry and changes the working patter...

In this chapter (4)

  • Current Performance
  • Outlook
  • Volatility
  • Life Cycle

Key metrics

  • Annual Revenue, Recent Growth, Forecast, Revenue Volatility
  • Number of Employees, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Employee
  • Number of Businesses, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Business
  • Total Profit, Profit Margin, Profit per Business

Charts

  • Revenue, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Employees, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Businesses, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Profit, including historical (2014-2024)
  • Industry Volatility vs. Revenue Growth
  • Industry Life Cycle

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in supply, demand and current events that are driving current industry performance
  • Expected trends, economic factors and ongoing events that drive the industry's outlook
  • Key success factors for businesses to overcome volatility
  • How contribution to GDP, industry saturation, innovation, consolidation, and technology and systems influence the industry's life cycle phase.

Products and Markets

Learn about an industry's products and services, markets and trends in international trade.

Analyst insight

Retail stores account for the largest proportion. The retail stores cater to consumer needs and preferences by offering a wide range of products and services.

In this chapter

  • Products & Services
  • Major Markets

Key metrics

  • Largest market segment and value in 2024
  • Product innovation level

Charts

  • Products & services segmentation in 2024
  • Major market segmentation in 2024

Detailed analysis

  • Trends impacting the recent performance of the industry's various segments
  • Innovations in the industry's product or service offering, specialization or delivery method
  • Key factors that successful businesses consider in their offerings
  • Buying segments and key trends influencing demand for industry products and services

Geographic Breakdown

Discover where business activity is most concentrated in an industry and the factors driving these trends to find opportunities and conduct regional benchmarking.

Analyst insights

The industry development in East China is very prosperous. This area has experienced rapid economic growth with a high demand for commercial buildings, making it an important...

In this chapter (1)

  • Business Locations

Charts

  • Share of revenue, establishment, wages and employment in each region
  • Share of population compared to establishments in each region in 2024

Tables

  • Number and share of establishments in each region in 2024
  • Number and share of revenue each region accounts for in 2024
  • Number and share of wages each region accounts for in 2024
  • Number and share of employees in each region in 2024

Detailed analysis

  • Geographic spread of the industry across Asia Pacific, and trends associated with changes in the business landscape
  • Key success factors for businesses to use location to their advantage

Competitive Forces

Get data and insights on what's driving competition in an industry and the challenges industry operators and new entrants may face, with analysis built around Porter's Five Forces framework.

Analyst insights

Land reserves provide a competitive advantage. The ability to acquire land and property with good locations is a prerequisite for the development of real estate.

In this chapter (4)

  • Concentration
  • Barriers to Entry
  • Substitutes
  • Buyer & Supplier Analysis

Key metrics

  • Industry concentration level
  • Industry competition level and trend
  • Barriers to entry level and trend
  • Substitutes level and trend
  • Buyer power level and trend
  • Supplier power level and trend

Charts

  • Market share concentration among the top 4 suppliers from 2019-2024
  • Supply chain including upstream supplying industries and downstream buying industries, flow chart

Detailed analysis

  • Factors impacting the industry’s level of concentration, such as business distribution, new entrants, or merger and acquisition activity.
  • Key success factors for businesses to manage the competitive environment of the industry.
  • Challenges that potential industry entrants face such as legal, start-up costs, differentiation, labor/capital intensity and capital expenses.
  • Key success factors for potential entrants to overcome barriers to entry.
  • Competitive threats from potential substitutes for the industry’s own products and services.
  • Key success factors for how successful businesses can compete with substitutes.
  • Advantages that buyers have to keep favorable purchasing conditions.
  • Advantages that suppliers have to maintain favorable selling conditions.
  • Key success factors for how businesses can navigate buyer and supplier power.

Companies

Learn about the performance of the top companies in the industry.

Analyst insights

The industry companies have investments in different geographic locations. This geographic diversity, including city centers, commercial districts, and emerging areas, helps ...

In this chapter

  • Market Share Concentration
  • Companies
  • Company Spotlights

Charts

  • Industry market share by company in 2020 through 2024
  • Major companies in the industry, including market share, revenue, profit and profit margin in 2024
  • Overview of Dalian Wanda Commercial Management Group Co., Ltd.'s performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
  • Overview of Greenland Holdings Corporation Limited's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
  • Overview of China Vanke Co., Ltd.'s performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
  • Overview of revenue, market share and profit margin trend for 9 additional companies

Detailed analysis

  • Description and key data for Dalian Wanda Commercial Management Group Co., Ltd., and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description and key data for Greenland Holdings Corporation Limited, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description and key data for China Vanke Co., Ltd., and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description, key data and performance trends for 9 additional companies

External Environment

Understand the demographic, economic and regulatory factors that shape how businesses in an industry perform.   

Analyst insights

The industry has a high regulation level. The Government has established regulations to control the financial performance and support the industry sustainable growth.

In this chapter

  • External Drivers
  • Regulation & Policy
  • Assistance

Key metrics

  • Regulation & policy level and trend
  • Assistance level and trend

Charts

  • Regulation & Policy historical data and forecast (2014-2029) 
  • Assistance historical data and forecast (2014-2029) 

Detailed analysis

  • Demographic and macroeconomic factors influencing the industry, including Regulation & Policy and Assistance
  • Major types of regulations, regulatory bodies, industry standards or specific regulations impacting requirements for industry operators
  • Key governmental and non-governmental groups or policies that may provide some relief for industry operators.

Financial Benchmarks

View average costs for industry operators and compare financial data against an industry's financial benchmarks over time. 

Analyst insights

High land prices squeeze profits. Due to high land cost and limit policy in price, the industry’s profitability is limited.

In this chapter

  • Cost Structure
  • Financial Ratios
  • Key Ratios

Key metrics

  • Profit margin, and how it compares to the sector-wide margin
  • Average wages, and how it compares to the sector-wide average wage
  • Largest cost component as a percentage of revenue
  • Industry average ratios for days' receivables, industry coverage and debt-to-net-worth ratio

Charts

  • Average industry operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
  • Average sector operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
  • Investment vs. share of economy

Data tables

  • Cash Flow & Debt Service Ratios (2014-2029)
  • Revenue per Employee (2014-2029)
  • Revenue per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • Employees per Establishment (2014-2029)
  • Employees per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • Average Wage (2014-2029)
  • Wages/Revenue (2014-2029)
  • Establishments per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • IVA/Revenue (2014-2029)
  • Imports/Demand (2014-2029)
  • Exports/Revenue (2014-2029)

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in the cost component for industry operators and their impact on industry costs and profitability 

Key Statistics

Industry Data

Data Tables

Including values and annual change:

  • Revenue (2014-2029)
  • IVA (2014-2029)
  • Establishments (2014-2029)
  • Enterprises (2014-2029)
  • Employment (2014-2029)
  • Exports (2014-2029)
  • Imports (2014-2029)
  • Wages (2014-2029)

Top Questions Answered

Unlock comprehensive answers and precise data upon purchase. View purchase options.

What is the market size of the Commercial Real Estate industry in China in 2024?

The market size of the Commercial Real Estate industry in China is $189.4bn in 2024.

How many businesses are there in the Commercial Real Estate in China industry in 2024?

There are 43,846 businesses in the Commercial Real Estate industry in China, which has declined at a CAGR of 1.1 % between 2019 and 2024.

Has the Commercial Real Estate industry in China grown or declined over the past 5 years?

The market size of the Commercial Real Estate industry in China has been declining at a CAGR of 2.4 % between 2019 and 2024.

What is the forecast growth of the Commercial Real Estate industry in China over the next 5 years?

Over the next five years, the Commercial Real Estate industry in China is expected to grow.

What are the biggest companies in the Commercial Real Estate market in China?

The biggest companies operating in the Commercial Real Estate market in China are Dalian Wanda Commercial Management Group Co., Ltd., Greenland Holdings Corporation Limited and China Vanke Co., Ltd.

What does the Commercial Real Estate in China include?

Retail stores and Office buildings are part of the Commercial Real Estate industry.

Which companies have the highest market share in the Commercial Real Estate in China?

The company holding the most market share in China is Dalian Wanda Commercial Management Group Co., Ltd..

How competitive is the Commercial Real Estate industry in China?

The level of competition is moderate and increasing in the Commercial Real Estate industry in China.

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Methodology

How are IBISWorld reports created?

IBISWorld has been a leading provider of trusted industry research for over 50 years to the most successful companies worldwide. With offices in Australia, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany and China, we are proud to have local teams of analysts that conduct research, data analysis and forecasting to produce data-driven industry reports.

Our analysts start with official, verified and publicly available sources of data to build the most accurate picture of each industry. Analysts then leverage their expertise and knowledge of the local markets to synthesize trends into digestible content for IBISWorld readers. Finally, each report is reviewed by one of IBISWorld’s editors, who provide quality assurance to ensure accuracy and readability.

IBISWorld relies on human-verified data and human-written analysis to compile each standard industry report. We do not use generative AI tools to write insights, although members can choose to leverage AI-based tools within the platform to generate additional analysis formats.

What data sources do IBISWorld analysts use?

Each industry report incorporates data and research from government databases, industry-specific sources, industry contacts, and our own proprietary database of statistics and analysis to provide balanced, independent and accurate insights.

Key data sources in China include:

  • National Bureau of Statistics China
  • General Administration of Customs
  • People’s Bank of China

Analysts also use industry specific sources to complement catch-all sources, although their perspective may focus on a particular organization or representative body, rather than a clear overview of all industry operations. However, when balanced against other perspectives, industry-specific sources provide insights into industry trends.

These sources include:

  • Industry and trade associations
  • Industry federations or regulators
  • Major industry players annual or quarterly filings

Finally, IBISWorld’s global data scientists maintain a proprietary database of macroeconomic and demand drivers, which our analysts use to help inform industry data and trends. They also maintain a database of statistics and analysis on thousands of industries, which has been built over our more than 50-year history and offers comprehensive insights into long-term trends.

How does IBISWorld forecast its data?

IBISWorld’s analysts and data scientists use the sources above to create forecasts for our proprietary datasets and industry statistics. Depending on the dataset, they may use regression analysis, multivariate analysis, time-series analysis or exponential smoothing techniques to project future data for the industry or driver. Additionally, analysts will leverage their local knowledge of industry operating and regulatory conditions to impart their best judgment on the forecast model.

IBISWorld prides itself on being a trusted, independent source of data, with over 50 years of experience building and maintaining rich datasets and forecasting tools. We are proud to be the keystone source of industry information for thousands of companies across the world.

Learn more about our methodology and data sourcing on the Help Center.